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Eating & Drinking Places


 

Overview

Eating out is an important part of daily life in the United States and the trend continues to grow unabated. According to the National Restaurant Association, each American (8 years and older) consumed an average of 4.3 commercially prepared meals per week in 1998, up from 3.9 meals just five years earlier. Consumer spending at eating and drinking establishments is expected to reach $354.0 billion in 1999, up 4.6 percent from 1995. On average, restaurant spending amounted to about $2,400 for each of the nearly 99 million households in the United States. In addition, consumers spend tens of billions at other foodservice locations outside the home, such as lodging places, employee cafeterias, coffee stands, and vending machines. For every dollar spent at food stores, consumers spend about 56 cents at restaurants and bars, up from 32 cents in 1967.

Eating and drinking places consist of restaurants, bars and taverns, and other away-from-home establishments. The National Restaurant Association further analyzes eating and drinking places by various segments:

  • commercial, including full-service and limited-service restaurants, cafeterias, caterers, ice cream and yogurt stands, coffee and espresso stands, bars and taverns, hotel and motel restaurants, food contractors, and other (e.g., vending machines);

  • institutional, including businesses, schools, hospitals, nursing homes and others that operate their own foodservice; and

  • military, including base exchange, and officers’ and non-commissioned officers foodservice

By far, the largest share of eating and drinking sales (91 percent) is in commercial eating and drinking places. The remainder of eating and drinking sales ($32.6 billion) were in institutional and military foodservice operations. According to the National Restaurant Association, sales for all eating and drinking places are estimated to reach $354 billion in 1999, an average annual growth rate of 5.2 percent from 1997. The restaurant industry is mature and sales gains tend to come at the expense of competition. The most pressing challenges facing the industry are the keen competition and the availability of labor.

Table 1

U.S. Eating & Drinking Industry Sales, 1996, 1997, 1998 and 1999
Source: National Restaurant Association

Segment

Estimated 1996

Estimated 1997

Estimated 1998

Forecast 1999

Commercial

$276.8

$288.8

$306.0

$321.4

Full-service restaurants

$100.3

$104.4

$111.3

$117.0

Limited-service restaurants

$98.4

$103.5

$105.3

$110.4

Cafeterias

$3.8

$3.9

$4.1

$4.2

Caterers

$2.9

$3.0

$3.1

$3.3

Ice cream, yogurt stands

$2.5

$2.6

$2.8

$2.9

Food contractors

$18.9

$19.8

$22.1

$23.2

Motel & hotel restaurants

$15.9

$16.5

$18.0

$18.7

Bars/taverns

$9.4

$9.2

$11.1

$11.5

Other commercial (e.g., coffee stands, vending machines)

$24.7

$25.9

$28.2

$30.2

Institutional food service

$29.7

$30.5

$30.7

$31.4

Military food service

$1.1

$1.1

$1.0

$1.2

Total U.S. food service

$307.6

$320.4

$337.7

$354.0

Over 8.2 million U.S. workers and proprietors are employed in the eating and drinking industry, making it the third largest private employment sector (behind health services and business services) in the economy. The industry’s share of total nonfarm jobs rose from 4.5 percent in 1980 to 5.3 percent in 1998, an increase of 3.2 million jobs.

Figure 1

Workers and Proprietors in the U.S. Eating & Drinking Industry, 1969-1997
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

For more detail of above graphic


Factors Behind Growth in the Eating and Drinking Industry

The portion of consumers’ food dollars that are spent at eating and drinking places has increased due primarily to demographic trends. First, changes within the American family have expanded the pool of people likely to eat out at restaurants. The most dramatic and significant of these changes is the increased number of married women employed outside the home. In 1970, 43 percent of married women were in the labor force. By 1998, the share of married women in the labor force had increased to about 64 percent. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates continued gains to 67 percent by 2005. Generally, working women have less time to prepare food at home and they generate additional household income that makes eating out an attractive option. Second, the baby-boom generation boasts the highest proportion (72 percent) of two-income families (i.e., both members of the married couple hold jobs). Across all generations, the proportion of two-income families is projected to grow to 64 percent of all married households by 2000; and 80 percent of households headed by individuals aged 25 and 44 years (both married and unmarried) are likely to have two incomes. Given recent findings that two-income households (with incomes between $50,000 and $70,000 in 1994) spend 60 percent more than the average household on food away from home, this trend bodes well for continued healthy spending on eating out. Third, with people marrying later in life and the high divorce rate, there are more one-person households that ever before. People who live alone are more likely to dine out than to prepare home-cooked meals. This trend in buying prepared food has gained further impetus from the growing number of restaurants that offer take-out and delivery service.

The overall health of the domestic economy influences consumer spending, which in turn drives sales at eating and drinking establishments. In particular, disposable personal income—total personal income after taxes—is an important measure because of its influence on the overall level of consumer spending. Generally speaking, when personal income is growing, consumers are more willing to loosen their purse strings; conversely, when disposable income levels aren’t growing or only increasing at a lackluster rate, consumers are less willing to spend. Their choices may shift to eating out at less expensive restaurants or fast-food chains.


Eating and Drinking and the Washington Economy

Eating and drinking places is one of the largest private industries in Washington State with a total work force of 171,800 employees in 1998, about 7 percent of the total state nonagricultural employment. Employment in eating and drinking has increased as a percentage of total nonfarm employment over the last two decades, primarily reflecting growth in population as well as real increases in income and spending power along with increased tourism activity.

Figure 2

Number of Eating & Drinking Establishments in Washington, 1981-1998
Source: Washington Employment Security Department

For more detail of above graphic

Figure 3

Workers in Washington Eating & Drinking Industry, 1981-1998
Source: Washington Employment Security Department

For more detail of above graphic

Eating and drinking establishments are a prominent part of Washington’s burgeoning tourism sector. Travelers’ spending in Washington—which totaled $9.6 billion in 1998—supported a substantial number of eating and drinking jobs throughout the state. In 1998, nearly one-third of total eating and drinking employment was supported by travelers’ expenditures.

Figure 4

Eating & Drinking Expenditures and Eating & Drinking Employment Supported by Travelers in Washington, 1991-1998
Source: Washington Department of Community, Trade & Economic Development, Tourism Division

For more detail of above graphic

Average annual wages of eating and drinking workers were $11,442 in 1998, more than two-thirds less than the average nonfarm worker annual payroll. Between 1981 and 1998, real average annual wages in eating and drinking places grew slightly less (0.9 percent) than the average annual nonfarm payroll growth rate (1.1 percent). The increase in average payroll for eating and drinking workers has barely kept pace with the inflation rate during this period. In terms of average hourly wages, eating and drinking workers are in predominantly low-wage jobs. More than seven out of every ten eating and drinking workers earn less than $10 per hour, compared with statewide workers (30 percent).

Table 2

Real Average Wages for Washington Eating & Drinking Industry Workers, 1981-1998 (1998 dollars)
Sources: Washington Employment Security Department,
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Sector

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1998

Eating & drinking places
 

$9,939

$9,507

$8,922

$9,054

$9,356

$9,830

$9,831

$10,057

$10,384

$11,442

Total Retail trade, ex. eat & drink
 

$20,757

$20,398

$19,648

$18,857

$18,636

$19,036

$19,499

$19,702

$20,710

$21,752

Total Services
 

$22,525

$21,216

$20,583

$21,493

$21,592

$23,948

$24,908

$26,490

$30,653

$35,996

Total Nonfarm
 

$28,783

$27,789

$27,313

$27,304

$27,167

$27,928

$28,575

$29,046

$31,504

$33,922

Figure 5

Average Hourly Wages of Eating & Drinking Industry Workers in Washington, 1997
Source: Washington Employment Security Department

For more detail of above graphic

Like many industries, eating and drinking places employ people in many occupations, but a large number of people are employed in entry-level, lower-skilled (and hence lower-wage) occupations. Common occupations within the eating and drinking industry include waiters/waitresses, fast-food workers, cooks, bartenders, food preparation workers, and cashiers.

Table 3

Occupational Profile of Eating & Drinking Industry Workers in Washington, 1998 and 2008
Source: Washington Employment Security Department

 

Estimated 1998

Projected 2008

Eating & Drinking, SIC 58

Estimated Employment

Percent of Total Employment

Projected Employment

Percent of Total Employment

Managerial & Administrative

8,797

5.1%

12,848

5.9%

Professional, Paraprofessional & Technical

663

0.4%

789

0.4%

Sales & Related Occupations

5,802

3.3%

8,352

3.8%

Clerical & Administrative Support

3,298

1.9%

3,857

1.8%

Service Occupations

143,754

82.6%

178,677

81.3%

Production, Operating & Maintenance

524

0.3%

651

0.3%

Operators, Helpers & Laborers

5,207

3.0%

6,836

3.1%

Undefined Occupations

5,969

3.4%

7,729

3.5%

TOTAL

174,014

100.0%

219,739

100.0%

In Washington, more than one in every three retail outlets is an eating and drinking establishment. Unlike other industries (including other retail trade), nearly one-half of the workers in the eating and drinking industry are in small businesses with less than 100 employees. More than nine out of every ten eating and drinking places in Washington employ less than 50 employees in 1998, with the average employment size of eating and drinking places roughly 15 employees.

Figure 6

Size of Establishments of Washington Eating & Drinking Industry, 1998
Source: Washington Employment Security Department

For more detail of above graphic


Outlook for Eating and Drinking Industry in Washington

The most recent annual forecast produced by the National Restaurant Association highlights Washington as one of the nation’s growth "hot spots" for the eating and drinking industry. Washington’s eating and drinking industry sales are projected to far surpass the national average due to the state’s expected population and income growth as well as employment gains and tourism attractiveness. Washington is projected to record one of the strongest eating and drinking sales growth rates among all states for 1999.

These robust growth rates in sales will continue to translate into employment gains for the eating and drinking industry. According to the recently released employment projections report, the employment level of the eating and drinking industry is projected to increase by 24.5 percent during the ten year period between 2000 and 2010, substantially higher than the 17.0 percent increase projected for total nonfarm employment in Washington. Employment growth in eating and drinking is expected to slow during the second forecast decade (2010-2020) to 15.5 percent, but still faster than the statewide nonfarm employment (11 percent). The eating and drinking industry will continue to be one of the state’s largest private employers for many years to come.

Figure 7

Washington Eating & Drinking Wage & Salary Employment Forecast, 2000-2020
Sources: Washington Office of Financial Management, Washington Employment Security Department

For more detail of above graphic

 
 

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