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 Table IV
YAKIMA COUNTY
Annual Average Nonagricultural Wage and Salary Employment
2003 and 2008 Projections

Percent Change

1998

2003

2008

1998-2003

2003-2008

TOTAL

75,200

80,700

85,100

7.3%

5.5%

MANUFACTURING

10,900

11,400

12,000

4.6%

5.3%

  Food & Kindred Products

3,900

4,000

4,000

2.6%

0.0%

  Lumber & Wood Products

1,600

1,600

1,600

0.0%

0.0%

NONMANUFACTURING

64,300

69,300

73,100

7.8%

5.5%

CONSTRUCTION & MINING

3,500

3,700

3,700

5.7%

0.0%

TRANSPORTATION & PUBLIC UTIL

3,000

3,100

3,300

3.3%

6.5%

  Motor Freight Transportation

1,600

1,800

1,900

12.5%

5.6%

WHOLESALE TRADE

7,400

8,100

8,300

9.5%

2.5%

RETAIL TRADE

14,000

14,700

15,200

5.0%

3.4%

  General Merchandise & Apparel

2,500

2,600

2,600

4.0%

0.0%

FINANCE, INS., & REAL ESTATE

2,600

2,600

2,700

0.0%

3.8%

SERVICES

20,100

22,400

24,500

11.4%

9.4%

  Business & Personal Services

1,900

2,200

2,300

15.8%

4.5%

  Health

7,800

8,800

10,000

12.8%

13.6%

GOVERNMENT

13,700

14,700

15,400

7.3%

4.8%

  Federal

1,400

1,500

1,500

7.1%

0.0%

  State & Local

12,300

13,300

13,900

8.1%

4.5%

Description of process: The base year 1998 estimates for the projections come from annual Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax data, and from estimates of railroad and other not covered employment by the state and federal UI programs.  The projected employment increases were estimated using a combination of five types of forecasting models with some individual industry adjustments. These projections were made before final benchmarking of the 1998 annual estimates was completed by the Regional Labor Economists.  As a result, the 1998 numbers indicated in these tables may differ from the benchmarked estimates which will be published later this year.

LMEA 1/2000

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