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 Table IV
WASHINGTON STATE
Annual Average Nonagricultural Wage and Salary Employment
2003 and 2008 Projections

Percent Change

1998

2003

2008

1998-2003

2003-2008

TOTAL

2,595,000

2,837,600

3,080,600

9.3%

8.6%

MANUFACTURING

378,800

370,100

383,600

-2.3%

3.6%

  Durable Goods

271,100

257,900

267,000

-4.9%

3.5%

      Lumber & Wood Products

34,200

33,200

33,300

-2.9%

0.3%

      Furniture & Fixtures

4,600

4,900

5,200

6.5%

6.1%

     Stone, Clay & Glass

9,500

9,700

10,100

2.1%

4.1%

      Primary Metals

11,900

12,200

12,400

2.5%

1.6%

      Fabricated Metals

14,700

15,700

16,700

6.8%

6.4%

      Industrial Machinery & Equipment

26,200

29,000

30,700

10.7%

5.9%

         Computer and Office Equipment

7,600

8,100

8,200

6.6%

1.2%

      Electronic & Other Electrical Equip.

18,400

23,000

26,500

25.0%

15.2%

      Transportation Equipment

127,800

105,100

105,500

-17.8%

0.4%

         Aircraft and Parts

112,200

88,700

88,600

-20.9%

-0.1%

      Instruments & Related

14,900

15,300

15,600

2.7%

2.0%

      Miscellaneous Manufacturing

8,900

9,800

11,000

10.1%

12.2%

  Nondurable Goods

107,700

112,200

116,600

4.2%

3.9%

      Food & Kindred Products

40,400

42,400

44,500

5.0%

5.0%

         Preserved Fruits & Vegetables

13,600

14,500

15,600

6.6%

7.6%

      Textiles, Apparel & Leather

9,600

9,700

9,900

1.0%

2.1%

      Paper & Allied Products

16,000

16,400

16,400

2.5%

0.0%

      Printing & Publishing

24,200

25,100

26,100

3.7%

4.0%

      Chemicals & Allied Products

6,000

6,100

6,100

1.7%

0.0%

      Petroleum, Coal, Plastics

11,500

12,500

13,600

8.7%

8.8%

MINING & QUARRYING

3,300

3,600

3,800

9.1%

5.6%

CONSTRUCTION

143,700

158,500

167,100

10.3%

5.4%

       General Building Contractors

40,800

44,200

47,500

8.3%

7.5%

       Heavy Construction, Ex. Buildings

19,100

23,300

22,300

22.0%

-4.3%

       Special Trade Contractors

83,800

91,000

97,300

8.6%

6.9%

TRANS., COMMUNICATION & UTIL.

136,100

142,700

151,900

4.8%

6.4%

       Transportation

90,700

95,500

102,600

5.3%

7.4%

         Trucking And Warehousing

32,000

33,300

34,600

4.1%

3.9%

         Water Transportation

9,300

9,000

8,900

-3.2%

-1.1%

        Transportation By Air

25,000

27,600

30,800

10.4%

11.6%

      Communications

29,900

31,400

32,900

5.0%

4.8%

      Electric, Gas and Sanitary Services

15,500

15,800

16,400

1.9%

3.8%

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADE

624,000

681,800

732,700

9.3%

7.5%

  Wholesale Trade

153,600

163,700

172,800

6.6%

5.6%

      Durable Goods

88,100

93,300

98,400

5.9%

5.5%

      Nondurable Goods

65,500

70,400

74,400

7.5%

5.7%

  Retail Trade

470,400

518,100

559,900

10.1%

8.1%

       Building Materials & Garden Supplies

22,100

23,000

23,600

4.1%

2.6%

      General Merchandise

47,300

52,100

56,100

10.1%

7.7%

      Food Stores

69,800

75,000

79,000

7.4%

5.3%

      Automotive Dealers & Service Stations

49,100

52,800

55,100

7.5%

4.4%

      Apparel & Accessory Stores

25,800

27,400

28,600

6.2%

4.4%

      Eating & Drinking Places

174,800

200,200

225,000

14.5%

12.4%

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE

135,000

142,900

151,000

5.9%

5.7%

      Finance

58,700

62,000

65,300

5.6%

5.3%

      Insurance

41,100

43,200

45,200

5.1%

4.6%

      Real Estate

35,200

37,700

40,500

7.1%

7.4%

SERVICES

710,000

829,400

941,000

16.8%

13.5%

      Hotels & Lodging

28,300

30,300

32,300

7.1%

6.6%

      Personal Services

22,800

24,400

25,500

7.0%

4.5%

      Business Services

154,200

195,100

237,000

26.5%

21.5%

      Computer & Data Processing

46,600

68,000

93,600

45.9%

37.6%

      Amusement & Recreation

38,900

45,300

50,700

16.5%

11.9%

      Health Services

184,200

213,000

241,600

15.6%

13.4%

         Nursing & Personal Care

33,100

36,300

39,500

9.7%

8.8%

         Hospitals

58,000

63,300

70,200

9.1%

10.9%

      Legal Services

18,200

20,900

22,600

14.8%

8.1%

      Educational Services

36,000

41,300

45,400

14.7%

9.9%

      Social Services

59,600

71,200

81,900

19.5%

15.0%

      Engineering & Management Services

63,000

73,300

81,700

16.3%

11.5%

GOVERNMENT

464,100

508,600

549,500

9.6%

8.0%

      Federal

67,200

67,100

68,000

-0.1%

1.3%

      State

133,000

146,700

158,300

10.3%

7.9%

        State Education

70,000

77,500

83,800

10.7%

8.1%

      Local

263,900

294,800

323,200

11.7%

9.6%

        Local Education

140,500

159,000

175,500

13.2%

10.4%

Description of process: The base year 1998 estimates for the projections come from annual Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax data, and from estimates of railroad and other not covered employment by the state and federal UI programs.  The projected employment increases were estimated using a combination of five types of forecasting models with some individual industry adjustments. These projections were made before final benchmarking of the 1998 annual estimates was completed by the Regional Labor Economists.  As a result, the 1998 numbers indicated in these tables may differ from the benchmarked estimates which will be published later this year.

LMEA 1/2000

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