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 Table IV
THURSTON COUNTY
Annual Average Nonagricultural Wage and Salary Employment
2003 and 2008 Projections

Percent Change

1998

2003

2008

1998-2003

2003-2008

TOTAL

82,000

90,800

98,900

10.7%

8.9%

MANUFACTURING

4,200

4,600

5,100

9.5%

10.9%

      Durable Goods

2,100

2,200

2,300

4.8%

4.5%

      Nondurable Goods

2,100

2,500

2,700

19.0%

8.0%

CONSTRUCTION & MINING

3,900

4,300

4,700

10.3%

9.3%

      Building and Heavy

1,600

1,800

1,900

12.5%

5.6%

      Special Trade Contractors

2,200

2,400

2,700

9.1%

12.5%

TRANS., COMMUNICATION & UTILITIES

2,200

2,300

2,600

4.5%

13.0%

      Transportation

1,300

1,300

1,400

0.0%

7.7%

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADE

16,600

18,100

19,300

9.0%

6.6%

  Wholesale Trade

2,300

2,500

2,700

8.7%

8.0%

  Retail Trade

14,300

15,600

16,600

9.1%

6.4%

      Food Stores

2,500

2,600

2,600

4.0%

0.0%

      Automotive Dealers & Service  Stations

1,500

1,600

1,600

6.7%

0.0%

      Eating & Drinking Places

5,100

5,500

5,900

7.8%

7.3%

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE

3,100

3,400

3,700

9.7%

8.8%

      Finance

1,500

1,600

1,700

6.7%

6.3%

SERVICES

19,200

22,300

25,100

16.1%

12.6%

      Business Services

2,400

3,000

3,400

25.0%

13.3%

      Health Services

6,900

7,800

8,900

13.0%

14.1%

         Hospitals

2,600

2,900

3,200

11.5%

10.3%

      Educational Services

1,100

1,400

1,600

27.3%

14.3%

      Social Services

1,700

2,100

2,500

23.5%

19.0%

GOVERNMENT

32,800

35,800

38,400

9.1%

7.3%

      Federal

1,000

1,000

1,100

0.0%

10.0%

      State (and Local prior to 1988)

22,000

23,700

24,800

7.7%

4.6%

         State Education

2,100

2,300

2,500

9.5%

8.7%

      Local

9,800

11,100

12,500

13.3%

12.6%

         Local Education

6,700

7,700

8,800

14.9%

14.3%

Description of process: The base year 1998 estimates for the projections come from annual Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax data, and from estimates of railroad and other not covered employment by the state and federal UI programs.  The projected employment increases were estimated using a combination of five types of forecasting models with some individual industry adjustments. These projections were made before final benchmarking of the 1998 annual estimates was completed by the Regional Labor Economists.  As a result, the 1998 numbers indicated in these tables may differ from the benchmarked estimates which will be published later this year.

LMEA 1/2000

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