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 Table IV
SNOHOMISH COUNTY
Annual Average Nonagricultural Wage and Salary Employment
2003 and 2008 Projections

Percent Change

1998

2003

2008

1998-2003

2003-2008

TOTAL

218,100

235,300

261,200

7.9%

11.0%

MANUFACTURING

65,800

59,100

61,700

-10.2%

4.4%

  Durable Goods

59,500

52,400

54,400

-11.9%

3.8%

      Lumber & Wood Products

3,200

3,100

3,100

-3.1%

0.0%

      Fabricated Metals

1,800

2,000

2,200

11.1%

10.0%

      Industrial Machinery & Equipment

2,700

3,200

3,700

18.5%

15.6%

      Electronic & Other Electrical Equip.

2,000

2,800

3,400

40.0%

21.4%

      Transportation Equipment

43,000

34,100

34,100

-20.7%

0.0%

         Aircraft and Parts

41,500

32,500

32,500

-21.7%

0.0%

       Instruments & Related

4,700

5,000

5,500

6.4%

10.0%

  Nondurable Goods

6,300

6,700

7,300

6.3%

9.0%

      Food & Kindred Products

1,500

1,600

1,800

6.7%

12.5%

      Paper & Allied Products

1,000

1,000

900

0.0%

-10.0%

      Printing & Publishing

2,100

2,300

2,500

9.5%

8.7%

MINING & MANUFACTURING

100

200

200

100.0%

0.0%

  Construction

14,400

16,600

18,500

15.3%

11.4%

      General Building Contractors

3,600

4,100

4,500

13.9%

9.8%

      Heavy Construction, Ex. Buildings

1,900

2,300

2,600

21.1%

13.0%

      Special Trade Contractors

8,900

10,200

11,400

14.6%

11.8%

TRANS., COMMUNICATION & UTILITIES

6,900

7,400

8,200

7.2%

10.8%

      Transportation

4,100

4,400

4,900

7.3%

11.4%

      Communications

2,500

2,600

2,800

4.0%

7.7%

      Electric, Gas and Sanitary Services

300

400

500

33.3%

25.0%

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADE

47,100

53,500

59,600

13.6%

11.4%

     Wholesale Trade

7,900

8,800

9,700

11.4%

10.2%

      Durable Goods

4,800

5,300

5,800

10.4%

9.4%

      Nondurable Goods

3,100

3,500

3,900

12.9%

11.4%

      Retail Trade

39,200

44,700

49,900

14.0%

11.6%

      Building Materials & Garden Supplies

1,800

2,000

2,200

11.1%

10.0%

     General Merchandise

4,000

4,700

5,400

17.5%

14.9%

      Food Stores

6,400

7,300

8,100

14.1%

11.0%

      Automotive Dealers & Service Stations

4,800

5,300

5,800

10.4%

9.4%

      Apparel & Accessory Stores

1,800

1,900

2,100

5.6%

10.5%

      Eating & Drinking Places

13,600

15,800

18,000

16.2%

13.9%

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE

9,300

10,300

11,400

10.8%

10.7%

      Finance

3,400

3,700

4,000

8.8%

8.1%

      Insurance

3,500

3,900

4,400

11.4%

12.8%

      Real Estate

2,400

2,700

3,000

12.5%

11.1%

SERVICES

43,900

51,900

59,600

18.2%

14.8%

      Business Services

7,100

8,700

10,200

22.5%

17.2%

      Amusement & Recreation

3,200

3,800

4,300

18.8%

13.2%

      Health Services

11,900

14,100

16,400

18.5%

16.3%

      Educational Services

1,100

1,300

1,400

18.2%

7.7%

      Social Services

4,500

5,400

6,300

20.0%

16.7%

      Engineering & Management Services

3,300

4,100

4,700

24.2%

14.6%

GOVERNMENT

30,600

36,300

42,000

18.6%

15.7%

  Federal

2,400

2,600

2,800

8.3%

7.7%

  State

4,700

5,400

6,200

14.9%

14.8%

      State Education

1,700

2,000

2,300

17.6%

15.0%

  Local

23,500

28,300

33,000

20.4%

16.6%

      Local Education

13,200

15,300

17,200

15.9%

12.4%

Description of process: The base year 1998 estimates for the projections come from annual Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax data, and from estimates of railroad and other not covered employment by the state and federal UI programs.  The projected employment increases were estimated using a combination of five types of forecasting models with some individual industry adjustments. These projections were made before final benchmarking of the 1998 annual estimates was completed by the Regional Labor Economists.  As a result, the 1998 numbers indicated in these tables may differ from the benchmarked estimates which will be published later this year.

LMEA 1/2000

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