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 Table IV
SEATTLE PMSA
Annual Average Nonagricultural Wage and Salary Employment
2003 and 2008 Projections

Percent Change

1998

2003

2008

1998-2003

2003-2008

TOTAL

1,354,100

1,474,700

1,614,100

8.9%

9.5%

MANUFACTURING

228,000

211,600

216,900

-7.2%

2.5%

  Durable Goods

183,700

166,100

170,500

-9.6%

2.6%

      Lumber & Wood Products

8,800

8,500

8,400

-3.4%

-1.2%

      Furniture & Fixtures

3,100

3,300

3,500

6.5%

6.1%

      Stone, Clay & Glass

4,700

4,700

4,800

0.0%

2.1%

      Primary Metals

1,400

1,400

1,400

0.0%

0.0%

      Fabricated Metals

7,900

8,300

8,700

5.1%

4.8%

      Industrial Machinery & Equipment

11,700

12,900

13,900

10.3%

7.8%

         Computer and Office Equipment

2,400

2,700

3,000

12.5%

11.1%

      Electronic & Other Electrical Equip.

10,000

12,000

13,400

20.0%

11.7%

      Transportation Equipment

117,900

95,600

95,900

-18.9%

0.3%

         Aircraft and Parts

108,600

85,600

85,600

-21.2%

0.0%

      Instruments & Related

11,900

12,300

12,800

3.4%

4.1%

  Nondurable Goods

44,300

45,500

46,400

2.7%

2.0%

      Food & Kindred Products

15,700

16,200

16,800

3.2%

3.7%

      Textiles, Apparel & Leather

5,000

5,100

5,100

2.0%

0.0%

      Paper & Allied Products

3,700

3,700

3,600

0.0%

-2.7%

      Printing & Publishing

13,700

14,200

14,700

3.6%

3.5%

      Chemicals & Allied Products

2,500

2,600

2,600

4.0%

0.0%

      Petroleum, Coal, Plastics

3,700

3,700

3,600

0.0%

-2.7%

MINING & QUARRYING

700

700

800

0.0%

14.3%

  Construction

72,600

79,400

86,200

9.4%

8.6%

    General Building Contractors

21,400

23,000

24,700

7.5%

7.4%

    Heavy Construction, Ex. Buildings

8,100

9,100

10,100

12.3%

11.0%

    Special Trade Contractors

43,100

47,300

51,400

9.7%

8.7%

TRANS., COMMUNICATION & UTIL.

81,800

86,500

92,700

5.7%

7.2%

  Transportation

57,200

60,600

65,400

5.9%

7.9%

      Trucking And Warehousing

14,100

14,400

14,500

2.1%

0.7%

      Water Transportation

6,000

5,800

5,700

-3.3%

-1.7%

      Transportation By Air

21,000

23,400

26,100

11.4%

11.5%

  Communications

20,800

21,900

23,100

5.3%

5.5%

  Electric, Gas and Sanitary Services

3,800

4,000

4,200

5.3%

5.0%

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES

316,900

346,700

375,400

9.4%

8.3%

  Wholesale Trade

89,900

95,900

101,200

6.7%

5.5%

      Durable Goods

56,400

59,200

61,800

5.0%

4.4%

      Nondurable Goods

33,500

36,700

39,400

9.6%

7.4%

  Retail Trade

227,000

250,800

274,200

10.5%

9.3%

      Building Materials & Garden Supplies

11,700

11,800

11,800

0.9%

0.0%

      General Merchandise

19,200

20,800

22,200

8.3%

6.7%

      Food Stores

30,100

32,200

33,700

7.0%

4.7%

      Automotive Dealers & Service Stations

20,000

21,100

21,900

5.5%

3.8%

      Apparel & Accessory Stores

17,800

18,800

19,700

5.6%

4.8%

      Eating & Drinking Places

85,200

99,900

115,800

17.3%

15.9%

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE

81,800

85,900

90,500

5.0%

5.4%

      Finance

32,700

34,500

36,300

5.5%

5.2%

      Insurance

28,500

29,700

30,900

4.2%

4.0%

      Real Estate

20,600

21,700

23,300

5.3%

7.4%

SERVICES

389,300

463,400

534,800

19.0%

15.4%

      Hotels & Lodging

12,800

13,500

14,300

5.5%

5.9%

      Personal Services

12,300

13,200

13,800

7.3%

4.5%

      Business Services

114,900

148,500

185,000

29.2%

24.6%

         Computer & Data Processing

40,500

59,500

83,100

46.9%

39.7%

      Amusement & Recreation

18,600

21,600

24,900

16.1%

15.3%

      Health Services

81,800

96,400

109,000

17.8%

13.1%

         Nursing & Personal Care

13,100

14,800

16,700

13.0%

12.8%

         Hospitals

25,500

27,900

31,500

9.4%

12.9%

      Legal Services

11,300

12,800

13,700

13.3%

7.0%

      Educational Services

17,600

20,300

22,800

15.3%

12.3%

      Social Services

26,900

31,600

35,700

17.5%

13.0%

      Engineering & Management Services

40,300

47,800

54,000

18.6%

13.0%

GOVERNMENT

183,000

200,500

216,800

9.6%

8.1%

      Federal

24,800

26,200

27,600

5.6%

5.3%

      State

53,000

57,500

61,400

8.5%

6.8%

         State Education

37,200

40,100

42,500

7.8%

6.0%

      Local

105,200

116,800

127,800

11.0%

9.4%

         Local Education

48,600

55,000

61,100

13.2%

11.1%

Description of process: The base year 1998 estimates for the projections come from annual Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax data, and from estimates of railroad and other not covered employment by the state and federal UI programs.  The projected employment increases were estimated using a combination of five types of forecasting models with some individual industry adjustments. These projections were made before final benchmarking of the 1998 annual estimates was completed by the Regional Labor Economists.  As a result, the 1998 numbers indicated in these tables may differ from the benchmarked estimates which will be published later this year.

LMEA 1/2000

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