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 Table IV
KING COUNTY
Annual Average Nonagricultural Wage and Salary Employment
2003 and 2008 Projections

Percent Change

1998

2003

2008

1998-2003

2003-2008

TOTAL

1,121,600

1,224,100

1,336,700

9.1%

9.2%

MANUFACTURING

161,400

151,400

154,500

-6.2%

2.0%

  Durable Goods

123,500

112,900

115,300

-8.6%

2.1%

      Lumber & Wood Products

5,600

5,400

5,300

-3.6%

-1.9%

      Furniture & Fixtures

2,400

2,600

2,700

8.3%

3.8%

      Stone, Clay & Glass

3,900

3,800

3,800

-2.6%

0.0%

      Primary Metals

1,200

1,200

1,200

0.0%

0.0%

      Fabricated Metals

6,100

6,300

6,500

3.3%

3.2%

      Industrial Machinery & Equipment

9,000

9,600

10,200

6.7%

6.3%

      Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment.

7,800

9,000

9,700

15.4%

7.8%

      Transportation Equipment

74,700

61,300

61,500

-17.9%

0.3%

          Aircraft and Parts

67,000

53,100

53,100

-20.7%

0.0%

      Instruments & Related

7,100

7,200

7,200

1.4%

0.0%

  Nondurable Goods

37,900

38,500

39,200

1.6%

1.8%

      Food & Kindred Products

14,200

14,500

15,000

2.1%

3.4%

      Textiles, Apparel & Leather

4,400

4,400

4,400

0.0%

0.0%

      Paper & Allied Products

2,600

2,700

2,700

3.8%

0.0%

      Printing & Publishing

11,600

11,900

12,200

2.6%

2.5%

      Chemicals & Allied Products

2,200

2,300

2,300

4.5%

0.0%

      Petroleum, Coal, Plastics

2,900

2,700

2,600

-6.9%

-3.7%

MINING & QUARRYING

500

600

600

20.0%

0.0%

CONSTRUCTION

57,300

62,100

66,700

8.4%

7.4%

  General Building Contractors

17,400

18,600

19,800

6.9%

6.5%

  Heavy Construction, Ex. Buildings

6,100

6,800

7,300

11.5%

7.4%

  Special Trade Contractors

33,800

36,700

39,600

8.6%

7.9%

TRANS., COMMUNICATION & UTIL.

74,200

78,600

84,100

5.9%

7.0%

  Transportation

52,700

55,900

60,300

6.1%

7.9%

      Trucking And Warehousing

12,900

13,000

13,100

0.8%

0.8%

      Water Transportation

5,800

5,600

5,400

-3.4%

-3.6%

      Transportation By Air

19,900

22,300

24,800

12.1%

11.2%

  Communications

18,100

19,200

20,200

6.1%

5.2%

  Electric, Gas and Sanitary Services

3,400

3,500

3,600

2.9%

2.9%

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADE

266,300

289,500

311,900

8.7%

7.7%

  Wholesale Trade

81,800

86,900

91,300

6.2%

5.1%

      Durable Goods

51,500

53,800

55,900

4.5%

3.9%

      Nondurable Goods

30,300

33,100

35,400

9.2%

6.9%

  Retail Trade

184,500

202,600

220,600

9.8%

8.9%

      Building Materials & Garden Supplies

9,700

9,500

9,400

-2.1%

-1.1%

      General Merchandise

15,000

15,900

16,600

6.0%

4.4%

      Food Stores

23,000

24,100

24,800

4.8%

2.9%

      Automotive Dealers & Service Stations

14,900

15,400

15,800

3.4%

2.6%

      Apparel & Accessory Stores

16,000

16,900

17,600

5.6%

4.1%

      Eating & Drinking Places

70,200

82,700

96,400

17.8%

16.6%

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE

71,600

74,700

78,200

4.3%

4.7%

  Finance

28,800

30,300

31,800

5.2%

5.0%

  Insurance

24,800

25,600

26,300

3.2%

2.7%

  Real Estate

18,000

18,800

20,100

4.4%

6.9%

SERVICES

342,300

407,900

471,200

19.2%

15.5%

  Hotels & Lodging

11,700

12,300

13,000

5.1%

5.7%

  Personal Services

9,800

10,400

10,800

6.1%

3.8%

  Business Services

107,600

139,600

174,400

29.7%

24.9%

      Computer & Data Processing

39,700

58,600

82,000

47.6%

39.9%

  Amusement & Recreation

15,100

17,500

20,300

15.9%

16.0%

  Health Services

69,200

81,400

91,600

17.6%

12.5%

      Nursing & Personal Care

10,000

11,400

12,800

14.0%

12.3%

      Hospitals

23,300

25,300

28,700

8.6%

13.4%

  Legal Services

10,600

11,800

12,500

11.3%

5.9%

  Educational Services

16,300

18,800

21,100

15.3%

12.2%

  Social Services

22,000

25,800

28,900

17.3%

12.0%

  Engineering & Management Services

36,700

43,400

48,900

18.3%

12.7%

GOVERNMENT

148,000

159,300

169,500

7.6%

6.4%

  Federal

21,000

22,200

23,400

5.7%

5.4%

  State

47,900

51,700

54,700

7.9%

5.8%

      State Education

35,300

37,900

39,900

7.4%

5.3%

  Local

79,100

85,400

91,400

8.0%

7.0%

      Local Education

34,200

38,200

42,200

11.7%

10.5%

Description of process: The base year 1998 estimates for the projections come from annual Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax data, and from estimates of railroad and other not covered employment by the state and federal UI programs.  The projected employment increases were estimated using a combination of five types of forecasting models with some individual industry adjustments. These projections were made before final benchmarking of the 1998 annual estimates was completed by the Regional Labor Economists.  As a result, the 1998 numbers indicated in these tables may differ from the benchmarked estimates which will be published later this year.

LMEA 1/2000

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